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ENN Poll: This Is Cat's Election To Lose
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Topic Started: Aug 24 2017, 03:32 AM (537 Views)
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HEM
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Aug 24 2017, 03:32 AM
Post #1
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former substitute senator to aexnidaral seymour
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 "ENN Poll: This Is Cat's Election To Lose" HEM Tiberius ENN Publisher
Over the last 24 hours ENN surveyed 29 citizens who expressed their opinions on the current administration, the upcoming Presidential Election, and other current events in Europeia.
The poll was made up of 58.5% new members and 41.5% old members. For the purposes of this survey, citizens who joined 2015 - 2017 are considered new members, and citizens who joined 2007 - 2014 are considered old members (happy graduation day 2014!)
Our survey showed that Deputy Minister Cat leads with 62.1% of the vote, against Former Foreign Affairs Minister Brunhilde's 31% of the vote. Snowball, stands in a distant third with 3.4% of the vote. Only 3.4% describe themselves as "completely undecided." Because of this, there is virtually no tangible difference between this question, and the question that prompts undecided voters to pick a candidate with no "undecided" option.
Cat vs. Brunhilde
These results bode very poorly for the Brunhilde / Rand ticket, and are prompting ENN to change our official characterization of the race from Lean Cat to Likely Cat. We had previously changed our characterization on August 21st from Tossup to Lean Cat after the release of Monkey's Poll.
New vs.
Old Members
Unsurprisingly, Brunhilde performs much better among older members than newer members. If only citizens who joined from 2007 - 2014 were allowed to vote, this would be a much closer race, though Brunhilde would still be behind with 41.70% of the vote.
There are several reasons why Brunhilde may be struggling.
First off, the current administration is incredibly popular. President Writinglegend will be leaving office with a 79.3% approval rating. And while only 3.4% strongly approve of his term, a minuscule 20.7% disapprove, and nobody strongly disapproves. Words that people associate with his administration include phrases like "Open-Minded", "Strong", "Interesting," and "Passionate". Words like "Stale" and "Slow" also showed up prolifically, and may reflect the non-reformist nature of Writinglegend's time as President, or merely the fact that he has been President for so long.
Writinglegend World Association
51.7% of voters say that President Writinglegend's spot on Cat's ticket make them more likely to vote for her. This compared to 34.5% who say it makes them less likely, and 13.8% who say it makes no difference.
In contrast, Rand appears to be doing the opposite for Brunhilde. 55.2% of respondents say that his presence on the ticket makes them less likely to vote for her, compared to 24.1% who say "more likely" and 20.7% who say "no impact."
Also potentially harming Brunhilde, is her current title of Vice Chancellor. Despite several high profile defenses, some voters still have significant concerns as to Brunhilde running for President from the Chancellery. While 51.7% of respondents said they were not concerned, and the position would have no impact on their vote, the rest of the region had varying degrees of concern. 20.7% of respondents characterized their concern as "extreme" and said it definitely had influence on their vote, with 13.8% apiece saying that they "mildly" or "slightly" concerned.
That being said, the vast majority of the region expresses that they have either "regained" or "continued" support in the Chancellery.
Chancellery Support
When looking region-wide, most people are fairly optimistic, saying that we are on the right track:
Direction of Region Looking at the past term, how do you think Europeia is doing?
Right Direction: 65.5% Wrong Track: 34.5%
Looking at the past year, how do you think Europeia is doing?
Right Direction: 48.3% Wrong Track: 34.5% Not Here For a Year: 17.2%
These numbers are more-or-less the same as when ENN asked the same question in March 2017.
One question from March 2017 that has changed a lot, however, is the question about the work ethic required of older members to achieve governmental office:
How Hard Do Older Members Have to Work For Jobs? Which statement best characterizes your view? (March 2017)
Older members expect to be handed political positions without putting in the work: 22.9% Older members work for political positions, but not as hard as newer members have to: 48.6% Older members work just as hard for political positions as newer members: 28.6%
Which statement best characterizes your view? (August 2017)
Older members expect to be handed political positions without putting in the work: 24.1% (+1.2%) Older members work for political positions, but not as hard as newer members have to: 69% (+20.4%) Older members work just as hard for political positions as newer members: 6.9% (-21.7%)
In the last five months, public perception has shifted drastically toward the idea that older members have a much easier ride, and that breaking through as a newer member is extremely difficult.
When looking at policy issues independently from candidates (at least in theory), members have generally favorable views of both reviving the internship program and EuroWorks.
Internship program and EuroWorks
Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think EuroWorks is a good idea?
Definitely a good idea: 31% Probably a good idea: 31% Probably not a good idea: 13.8% Definitely not a good idea: 17.2% Not sure what "EuroWorks" is: 6.9%
Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think reviving the Internship program is a good idea?
Definitely a good idea: 17.9% Probably a good idea: 53.6% Probably not a good idea: 17.9% Definitely not a good idea: 7.1% Not sure what the "Internship Program" is: 3.6%
An issue that was much more divisive, however, was the matter of withdrawing from CAIN.
CAIN Irregardless of who you are voting for, what do you believe Europeia needs to do in regards to CAIN?
Definitely leave CAIN: 20.7% Probably leave CAIN: 34.5% Definitely remain in CAIN: 17.2% Probably remain in CAIN: 24.1% Unsure of what "CAIN" is: 3.4%
A small majority of 55.2% believe that it is "probably" or "definitely" time to leave the Europeia-led coalition vs. 41.3% of the region who believe that we "probably" or "definitely" should stay. Regardless of what the next President choses to do, they will likely have detractors who oppose their position on this particular issue.
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Rach
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Aug 24 2017, 03:49 AM
Post #2
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At Least 5% Sugar
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There are certain aspects of Brunhilde's campaign that I really like, but I find her platform as a whole to be surprisingly weak despite the apparent long term planning and the Chancellery connections to also be a bit of a turnoff.
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♥ Love and Kindness are never wasted ♥ The 2011 President of the Year Queen of Balder Unofficial Navy Girl
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Snowball
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Aug 24 2017, 04:27 AM
Post #3
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- Quote:
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Which statement best characterizes your view? (August 2017)
Older members expect to be handed political positions without putting in the work: 24.1% (+1.2%) Older members work for political positions, but not as hard as newer members have to: 69% (+20.4%) Older members work just as hard for political positions as newer members: 6.9% (-21.7%)
This is honestly the most important part of the poll
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#NeverAgain
 RIP ALL LOST IN INFINITY WAR
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Julius-Snowball Reubensmark
Resume Former- Deputy Minister of Culture Deputy Minister in the Department of the AG Former Deputy Village Idiot Deputy Minister of Internal Integration in the Ministry of the Interior Deputy Chair of the Citizens' AssemblyX3 Deputy Director of the ECPX3
shiny stuff
Quotes about me hyanygo- This is spectacular. It is one of the rare moments where the potential of an idea is realised. A geninuely engaging read and a beautiful end product. (On A Mockingbird) Drexlore: Will Snowball be a good CA Chair? Trump: IVANKA! It's great seeing people such as ...Snowball, and ....jump into things, working everyday to improve and get better.- JayDee Three of my kids (Snowball and Pyn <3)...amounted to anything. Drecq - "Vote Snowball because all the other candidates are Russian sleeper agents" Festavo - "Say No to Snow" Vert - A Vote for Snowball is a vote against the establishment and the system. An endorsement of chaos, a cry of anger from voters who are jaded and feel left out from the process. It is in many ways like voting for Trump, but without the racism and stuff, and without a chance that'd he win anything truly significant Im pretty sure snowballs voice will haunt my nightmares-Vert WA Delegate Race I'm with Drecq here. I'll totally back an end to The Republic if the WAD goes to Snowball*-Kylia Quilor Who the fuck is comrade snowball?-Jahka I don't think any of that really has to do with the Delegate's office. But sure.-Rand Oh dear God. An actual experienced candidate has been over taken by someone with no experience whatsoever and could possibly end up in a run-off with two experienced candidates or could beat yet another experienced candidate and face a one on one runoff.-Punchwood You could call it a snowball effect  -GraVandius |
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Aexnidaral Seymour
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Aug 24 2017, 04:41 AM
Post #4
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Somebody's got to keep you entertained.
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Well, Cat, you better watch out for those voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin who are "economically anxious"
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Family, Resume, and Awards Family  The Right Honourable Aexnidaral "Crist" Seymour Somerset

Son of North East Somerset and Rachel Husband of Pichtonia Seymour Somerset, Phantasus Chastain, and Ogastein Father of Isaris, Klatonia, XIV, and America Billiards Brother of JGlenn, Apollo, Brunhilde, and Ninja KittensResume and Awards "... Aex, who is treated like the Europeian version of Nickelback by a lot of people here."
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Altmoras
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Aug 24 2017, 07:02 AM
Post #5
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Hard to lock up.
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It's interesting to see the difference in the "floors" between candidates, and by "floor" I mean respondents who said they were "strongly behind" a particular candidate. Cat's floor is 2/3rds of her support, compared to Brun's which is the reverse, and Snowball's which doesn't exist.
CAIN while divisive, doesn't seem to be the big issue in the minds of the voters either given that a majority support leaving, yet a majority also supports the candidate who wants to stay in.
Overall I'm really surprised how these polls have been turning out, I suppose polling will always be a tad inaccurate, but I had this election pegged as a Brun 60/40 in shortly after Cat's campaign was released. I guess I didn't see the same things as the typical Europeian
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- Skizzy Grey
- Aug 23 2017, 12:50 AM
Unlike your home region, Europeia is not hell-bent on subverting and destroying other regional communities. We are an open society. You are taking advantage of that openness to try to influence our elections for the benefit of your home region, which is committed to our destruction. Perhaps our laws allow you to do this (though as a Senator, I'll be looking into changing that), but they don't require me to be nice to you while you're doing it, you little piece of shit.
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Kylia Quilor
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Aug 24 2017, 11:31 AM
Post #6
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Queen in My Own Mind
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My choice was a real gun to my head one, and if I believed in abstention, I'd be abstaining from this election completely, but I believe that one must always vote for the best of the available options in elections, rather than just sit out.
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The Rt. Hon. Commodore Kylia Quilor, Dux Emeritus, Legatus, Quartius, Primus Pilus, Praefectus Vigilum Noctu, ERN
 I. Am. Not. A. Nice. Person. Never underestimate the power of cynicism, pessimism and negativity to prevent terrible things from happening. Only idealists try to build the future on a mountain of bodies. Unfocused populism is just as dangerous, if not more so, to a Republic's survival as creeping authoritarianism. Tell people how you feel, honestly and frankly. If you like someone, tell them. If you don't like them, tell them - the world would be a better place if we all knew where we stood.
Professional Credentials Curriculum Vitae Europeia: President x1 Minister of Foreign Affairs x2 Grand Admiral x4 Senator x11 Minister of Communications x1
Current Positions In Other Regions: Queen of Kantrias
Past Positions in Other Regions (Selected): MP (LKE), Minister of the Exterior (LKE), Reichstag Delegate (TNI), Minister (TNI), Reich Elector (TNI), TNI Contingent Commander, (UIAF), Director of Public Relations (Region Inc)
Medals Order of Service to Europeia  , Order of the Bronze Star  , Order of Courage x2 
Testimonials To My Character Named Testimonials [justified]I sometimes suspect that [Kylia] Quilor is here to harvest the tears of young, ambitious nations. - The Bruce O how much we have missed your cynicism [Kylia]. :p - Zaolat I'm so happy you're back but you're also crushing my dreams - Sopo [Kylia] is close to defining the modern Europeian conservative. - Hyanygo You carry an interesting dichotomy about yourself - a mix of fiery passion and cool reservation that both intrigues and concerns me. -Trinnien Kylia is the neighbor at the end of the street that you don't want to mess with during petunia season. -Cat I'd just like to thank KQ for resurrecting this thread, because it was truly what GP needed. </sarcasm>- Cormac Oh man, today I did not wake up thinking "I'll post something defending Kylia" ... but here we are. - Aexnidaral Seymour[/justified] Anonymous Testimonials - “Too much negativity and edginess”
- “We need someone like [her] to keep us from flying too close to the sun”
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PhDre
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Aug 24 2017, 03:10 PM
Post #7
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Rt. Hon. OG PhDre DMV AF1
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That Chancellery is an issue to some voters seems... unreasonable. The Boogeyman has been successfully created. FTR I'm probably a toss up this election, but Brun's position in the Chancellery should have no impact on voters.
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Join the Citizens' Assembly today!
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Skizzy Grey
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Aug 24 2017, 03:10 PM
Post #8
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insert random title here
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- Kylia Quilor
- Aug 24 2017, 11:31 AM
My choice was a real gun to my head one, and if I believed in abstention, I'd be abstaining from this election completely, but I believe that one must always vote for the best of the available options in elections, rather than just sit out.
I'm similarly torn, but like you, I'll make a call one way or the other.
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Monkey
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Aug 24 2017, 08:07 PM
Post #9
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:D
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this was a fun poll, i enjoyed seeing the results
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Help I don't know what i'm doing
awards
I love bragging about myself real awards CA Assemblymember of the Term
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Le Libertie
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Aug 24 2017, 09:25 PM
Post #10
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Back to business
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Very interesting poll.
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 Le Libertie Decoeur
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Former and Current Positions: Current Minister of the Interior (x2) Former Senator of Europeia Head of the Legislative Training Center Former Communications Deputy of Internal Integration Former Senate Aide
Favorite Quotes "The truth resists simplicity." - John Green "It is only with the heart that one can see rightly; what is essential is invisible to the eye." - Antoine de Saint-Exupery
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Kylia Quilor
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Aug 24 2017, 10:16 PM
Post #11
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Queen in My Own Mind
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- PhDre
- Aug 24 2017, 03:10 PM
That Chancellery is an issue to some voters seems... unreasonable. The Boogeyman has been successfully created. FTR I'm probably a toss up this election, but Brun's position in the Chancellery should have no impact on voters. I have to agree. The can of worms Vert opened and... certain individuals then ripped the lid right off of has now started to take root in the region.
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The Rt. Hon. Commodore Kylia Quilor, Dux Emeritus, Legatus, Quartius, Primus Pilus, Praefectus Vigilum Noctu, ERN
 I. Am. Not. A. Nice. Person. Never underestimate the power of cynicism, pessimism and negativity to prevent terrible things from happening. Only idealists try to build the future on a mountain of bodies. Unfocused populism is just as dangerous, if not more so, to a Republic's survival as creeping authoritarianism. Tell people how you feel, honestly and frankly. If you like someone, tell them. If you don't like them, tell them - the world would be a better place if we all knew where we stood.
Professional Credentials Curriculum Vitae Europeia: President x1 Minister of Foreign Affairs x2 Grand Admiral x4 Senator x11 Minister of Communications x1
Current Positions In Other Regions: Queen of Kantrias
Past Positions in Other Regions (Selected): MP (LKE), Minister of the Exterior (LKE), Reichstag Delegate (TNI), Minister (TNI), Reich Elector (TNI), TNI Contingent Commander, (UIAF), Director of Public Relations (Region Inc)
Medals Order of Service to Europeia  , Order of the Bronze Star  , Order of Courage x2 
Testimonials To My Character Named Testimonials [justified]I sometimes suspect that [Kylia] Quilor is here to harvest the tears of young, ambitious nations. - The Bruce O how much we have missed your cynicism [Kylia]. :p - Zaolat I'm so happy you're back but you're also crushing my dreams - Sopo [Kylia] is close to defining the modern Europeian conservative. - Hyanygo You carry an interesting dichotomy about yourself - a mix of fiery passion and cool reservation that both intrigues and concerns me. -Trinnien Kylia is the neighbor at the end of the street that you don't want to mess with during petunia season. -Cat I'd just like to thank KQ for resurrecting this thread, because it was truly what GP needed. </sarcasm>- Cormac Oh man, today I did not wake up thinking "I'll post something defending Kylia" ... but here we are. - Aexnidaral Seymour[/justified] Anonymous Testimonials - “Too much negativity and edginess”
- “We need someone like [her] to keep us from flying too close to the sun”
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Aditya Republic
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Aug 25 2017, 01:17 PM
Post #12
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India's Ambassador to Europeia
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Nice work
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NS Nations [nation]Aditya Republic[/nation]([region]The Republic of India[/region]), [nation]Indian Armed Forces[/nation]([region]Europeia[/region]), [nation]The Best Indian[/nation]([region]The LCRUA[/region])
Awards Golden Pen
My newspaper
About me 15 year old Glutton Ultra nationalist Indian Class 11 Humanities student Ardent football and Real Madrid fan Know English, Hindi, Tamil and Konkani Nerd, dork, introvert Irreligious theist. I revere many Gods, first and foremost my parents. Other gods include a higher power, books etc. Bibliophile bookworm Wannabe diplomat
India
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GraVandius
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Aug 25 2017, 09:24 PM
Post #13
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The Senate
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- Quote:
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Which statement best characterizes your view? (August 2017)
Older members expect to be handed political positions without putting in the work: 24.1% (+1.2%) Older members work for political positions, but not as hard as newer members have to: 69% (+20.4%) Older members work just as hard for political positions as newer members: 6.9% (-21.7%)
I'm wondering if this large change is due to the uproar of Possibly This's upset over Skizzy back then and a greater number of older members being up in arms over that issue. Now that things have returned to normal, I think less hysteria is the reason for that drop in the final category.
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Europeian Resume Senator (x3) Speaker (x1) Deputy Speaker (x1) Minister of Communications (x1) Minister of Interior (x1) Deputy Minister of Interior (x5) Citizens Assembly Chair (x3) Deputy Chair of Citizens Assembly (x2) Law Clerk Deputy Director of ECP (x2) Founder of EPP EPP Party Chairman (X1) EPP Party President (x1) ACE Vice-Chair (x1) Press Secretary of ACE (x1) Senate Aide to Malashaan
Roles Abroad Balder Sorting (x2) Minister of Integration (x1) Deputy Minister of Integration and Recruitment (x1)
Spiritus RA Representative (x4) RA Speaker (x1)
Equalism Mayor x1
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PhDre
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Aug 25 2017, 11:11 PM
Post #14
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Rt. Hon. OG PhDre DMV AF1
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- GraVandius
- Aug 25 2017, 09:24 PM
- Quote:
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Which statement best characterizes your view? (August 2017)
Older members expect to be handed political positions without putting in the work: 24.1% (+1.2%) Older members work for political positions, but not as hard as newer members have to: 69% (+20.4%) Older members work just as hard for political positions as newer members: 6.9% (-21.7%)
I'm wondering if this large change is due to the uproar of Possibly This's upset over Skizzy back then and a greater number of older members being up in arms over that issue. Now that things have returned to normal, I think less hysteria is the reason for that drop in the final category. PT worked hard for his Senatorship. By which I mean he ran 9+ times. That election wasn't an example of young players working hard particularly for a position because PT did nothing of value legislatively besides run every election. It was definitely a referendum on experienced and qualified older members expecting that new / younger citizens value their previous contributions without continued visible service. It did not help that skizzy does not use discord which we see time and again is a political edge.
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Join the Citizens' Assembly today!
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You shall become the person you are.
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Snowball
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Aug 26 2017, 01:36 AM
Post #15
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- PhDre
- Aug 25 2017, 11:11 PM
- GraVandius
- Aug 25 2017, 09:24 PM
- Quote:
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Which statement best characterizes your view? (August 2017)
Older members expect to be handed political positions without putting in the work: 24.1% (+1.2%) Older members work for political positions, but not as hard as newer members have to: 69% (+20.4%) Older members work just as hard for political positions as newer members: 6.9% (-21.7%)
I'm wondering if this large change is due to the uproar of Possibly This's upset over Skizzy back then and a greater number of older members being up in arms over that issue. Now that things have returned to normal, I think less hysteria is the reason for that drop in the final category.
PT worked hard for his Senatorship. By which I mean he ran 9+ times. That election wasn't an example of young players working hard particularly for a position because PT did nothing of value legislatively besides run every election. It was definitely a referendum on experienced and qualified older members expecting that new / younger citizens value their previous contributions without continued visible service. It did not help that skizzy does not use discord which we see time and again is a political edge. Discord is becoming more and more the face of Europeia
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#NeverAgain
 RIP ALL LOST IN INFINITY WAR
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Julius-Snowball Reubensmark
Resume Former- Deputy Minister of Culture Deputy Minister in the Department of the AG Former Deputy Village Idiot Deputy Minister of Internal Integration in the Ministry of the Interior Deputy Chair of the Citizens' AssemblyX3 Deputy Director of the ECPX3
shiny stuff
Quotes about me hyanygo- This is spectacular. It is one of the rare moments where the potential of an idea is realised. A geninuely engaging read and a beautiful end product. (On A Mockingbird) Drexlore: Will Snowball be a good CA Chair? Trump: IVANKA! It's great seeing people such as ...Snowball, and ....jump into things, working everyday to improve and get better.- JayDee Three of my kids (Snowball and Pyn <3)...amounted to anything. Drecq - "Vote Snowball because all the other candidates are Russian sleeper agents" Festavo - "Say No to Snow" Vert - A Vote for Snowball is a vote against the establishment and the system. An endorsement of chaos, a cry of anger from voters who are jaded and feel left out from the process. It is in many ways like voting for Trump, but without the racism and stuff, and without a chance that'd he win anything truly significant Im pretty sure snowballs voice will haunt my nightmares-Vert WA Delegate Race I'm with Drecq here. I'll totally back an end to The Republic if the WAD goes to Snowball*-Kylia Quilor Who the fuck is comrade snowball?-Jahka I don't think any of that really has to do with the Delegate's office. But sure.-Rand Oh dear God. An actual experienced candidate has been over taken by someone with no experience whatsoever and could possibly end up in a run-off with two experienced candidates or could beat yet another experienced candidate and face a one on one runoff.-Punchwood You could call it a snowball effect  -GraVandius |
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