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| Would a gold-only currency be all that bad? | |
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| Topic Started: Jan 27 2012, 06:48 PM (391 Views) | |
| PersianPaladin | Jan 27 2012, 06:48 PM Post #1 |
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I'm currently having a debate with somebody at Misers Institute regarding the feasability of a monetary system backed by gold. If the government got out of the way, would this be a bad thing? Here is what I stated:- If the fraudsters bought off all the gold and silver, or the majority of it - then wouldn't the compensation for the damage they have wrought to the unemployed and businesses, result in most people getting a share in gold and silver stock? That could be a good move, at first glance. Let us suppose people spend or save this money and then transfer their stocks into various interest-accruing accounts (such as ISA's here in the UK). This money may not be sufficient for them to live, long-term. So they will have to rely on employment (if they live in the cities or suburbs) and their employer will obtain loans from the bank based on the value of savings in their collective deposits from all the various owners of gold-stock. Now - a bank would have to make loans when consumers or businesses demand it. To use lay terms (for convenience) - would a minority elite be able to buy the gold-stock represented in each persons' bank account? This depends on whether the bank would allow this in their Terms Of Agreement or not. For example, they could warn the customer that their savings may be liable to the risk of being bought and sold (i.e. their gold-stock deposit accounts could be sold off in exchange for the money that an elite minority of businessmen give to the bank). The consumers' deposit accounts would still be technically redeemable in the amount of gold-stock that they deposited into it, but the ownership of that gold-stock would be out of their hands. Now, you could argue that it doesn't matter if this happens - as banks would still make loans anyway. But, what if said banks come under the ownership influence of a minority elite who have invested heavily in the majority of gold stocks? What are your thoughts? Edited by PersianPaladin, Jan 27 2012, 06:48 PM.
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| Sage Against The Machine | Jan 28 2012, 05:35 PM Post #2 |
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In terms of a Gold Standard, why would we in the UK or US want to base our money on something we, the people, don't have anything of? It would also cause massive devaluation of the dollar or pound - is this economically desirable? I understand the Austrian Economist's distrust of government, but it's all we have for democracy. I'm not keen on a free-for-all, laissez faire approach to something as fundamentally important as the money supply. It would cause massive inequality IMO. Monetary reform in the UK aims to do the following things: 1. Replace most of the debt-based money with debt-free money in a way which will not cause inflationary shocks. There is so much debt-based credit in the money supply that it is unpayable without huge forced, unsustainable growth or a swinging slash and burn policy by the government. Why should the losses of the banks be nationalised? The banks (the so-called experts) were controlling the tap of credit. Sure there was some greed by consumers but many people have felt their real purchasing power dwindle. 2. The above can be achieved by paying off personal debt (as quickly as possible) and the national debt (slowly over 15 years or so) using digital debt-free money. This newly created money on its own would cause inflation (which is why we need Point No 3 below). Not because of debt-free money itself but because the debt-free money could easily be converted to debt-based money using the FRB / capital adequacy ratio system that we currently have. UK Money Reformers consider debt-based money and FRB-type systems to be inherently inflationary. This explains why the Bank of England target for inflation is 2% and not 0%. The current model balances the economy on such a precarious knife-edge that an inflation rate that approaches 0% would tip the economy into a deflationary spiral under the current debt-money system. The 2% target represents the extra amount of money needed over and above that which is required to keep the economy working. Even during comparatively good times, we get a little bit of inflation - which as we know is really a stealth tax on money itself as people find their purchasing power diminish - and we get a little bit of recession - job losses, home repossessions (the real-life human tragedies that lie beneath economist's bland jargon and dysfunctional theories). In addition, even though UK goverments gave the power of money creation to the banks, they gain huge political power by having the national debt as a contrived tool of scarcity. They can dip into it whenever they want to stimulate the economy or they can stop subsidising industries they don't like (e.g. coal and steel). With a debt-based economy they win the argument every time with cries of "we're living beyond our means" or "we've maxed out the nation's credit card" or "we didn't fix the roof when the sun was shining!" 3. Raise the capital adequacy ratios to full reserve at the same rate that new money is introduced. This keeps the quantity of money constant & inflation low and controlled. In fact, research by The New Economics Foundation has worked out an internal accounting exercise to make an overnight switch to the new system without affecting people's accounts or bank's assets. 4. The government in question would need to repeal necessary legislation which gave private banks the ability to create new money out of thin air. Private banks would still remain private and would provide fiancial services. The money supply would be nationalised and banks would effectively be account holders in the Bank of England and there would be massive penalties if they went into the red - which would be effectively counterfeiting and devaluing UK currency. An at arms length agency such as the Monetary Policy Committee would have control over the total money supply (to minimise political tinkering) which they could increase or decrease accordingly to set inflation or to take into account a rising population or even boost it during a national emergency to stimulate the economy. This is the least bad system IMO. At least we can keep our eye on them and we will know who to blame! I believe the above would free up the nation's money supply which was previously hanging around not doing very much other than servicing a debt. Banks keep saying they can make money (not surprising seeing as how they have a monopoly on our one and only means of exchange). So I say let them try to make it - on a level playing field, competing properly with other banks for good quality customers to attract some of the money that is recycled in the system. Customers would have 2 types of account. (a) Transaction (current) account - guaranteed by the government, no risk. 100% reserve. (B) Investment (savings) account - not guaranteed, therefore slight risk. Customers do not have to put all their eggs in one basket. They can spread their savings around. Customers give banks permission to invest this during a certain time period, during which the customer has no access. No bank bailouts in this model. This money reform model should free up so much money that the demand for loans would fall because people would no longer be experiencing "poverty amidst plenty." If there are temporarily insufficient funds for lending to viable businesses then interest rates would need to be raised to encourage savers to put more money in the banks coffers for lending. This could be market controlled. Banks could still be profitable if run responsibly but they would cease to be the multibillion dollar gambling casinos they are at present. They will also have to stop paying CEOs silly seven figure bonuses which have not been earned in the true sense of the word. Other things to consider: The banking system is a complicated, interconnected web of various financial packages - some low risk, some toxic. The way this is directed is by market forces and herd mentality. The whole thing is a bit like a nasty game of pass the parcel with a bomb inside and when the music stops, the person left holding the parcel is up a certain creek without a particular implement. The system of full reserve is a means by which the money supply can be stabilised during a transition period to debt-free money, so inflation can be controlled and set to 0%. Contrary to popular belief a 0% inflation rate wouldn't cause people to stop spending (people will always want to spend, some would say, too much!) - but it would benefit savers and debtors equally. The UK has a money supply of 2 trillion pounds. Plenty of money for anyone to gain acces to - to earn it and spend it. It's the current system that has boom and bust built into it, not 100% reserve in the Transaction account. I hope I'm wrong. I hope the world economy magically heals itself in the next year or two but I think it's caught in a debt trap. I think the current financial system is dead and if the government hadn't nailed it to the perch, it would be pushing up the daisies. |
| "Madness is doing the same thing over and over again expecting a different result". | |
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| nickn | Jan 28 2012, 09:03 PM Post #3 |
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Yes. It would be all that bad. No one says that Disney world tickets are worthless since they're "only printed on paper". It would be silly for Disney to print their Disney World tickets on gold leaf. They're already valuable as is. The only thing that would accomplish is to make Disney's financial success dependent on whether they can get enough gold to make more tickets. It would be ridiculous. Governments can make their currency valuable by requiring that tariffs are paid in their currency. Also tieing a currency to gold is just plain stupid. Edited by nickn, Jan 28 2012, 09:04 PM.
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| telday | Jan 29 2012, 12:53 PM Post #4 |
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Another good post Sage, and I must say I am in broad agreement. Personaly I am in favour of a "no risk" 100% reserve "savings" account, (By that I mean money deposited that can't be loaned out by the bank and must be held in reserve and payable on demand. Even if this results in a "small" fee charged by said bank) However, something that does trouble me with regard to this is the spectre of "hoarding". If I deposit my money in a 100% reserve "savings" account then that money, is obviously, taken out of the general economy. Isn't this, in effect, contracting the money supply, and am I therefore preventing "society" from functioning at it's peak efficiency? Also, could this be used by the PS as a means to control the money supply to their advantage? Money surely is intended to be liquid, it must circulate to be of real benefit. Conversely shouldn't people have a right to protect their money (savings) as they see fit. How can we safegaurd/gaurantee peoples savings, whilst not depriving society of the money's real function, and maintain an adequate money supply. Do you think there is any way of squaring this particular circle, or do you not think it is a problem? I would be interested to hear your views. |
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I will never again refer to the perpertrators of continuous henious crimes, as "banksters", it's too good a word for them. From now on I will only refer to them as psychopathic scum. (P. S.) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xu4xPvyLn5Y | |
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| Apocalypto | Jan 29 2012, 06:31 PM Post #5 |
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The only advantage of a gold standard is that it imposes a natural restraining function against excessive government spending. That's why the US left the gold standard in 1971. When Nixon took office in 1969, he was faced with the soaring debt and ongoing expenses left to him by LBJ's mid-60's launch of Medicaid, "The Great Society" (i.e. the modern welfare state), the Apollo Space program and the Vietnam war COMBINED. By the early 70's, debt was out of control and we were running out of enough gold to back all of our gold backed money. Our money at that time was redeemable for actual physical gold by foreign countries (but not by US citizens). The French and other European countries were: (1) buying US dollars with their own currency, (2) redeeming it for gold from the US treasury, and then (3) converting that gold back into their own currency - VOILA, all of sudden you have more francs then you had before just by playing a little shell game. That's called arbitrage, and it was sucking the gold right out of the US Treasury at the time (due to all the new money printed up to pay for the war/entitlement debt). In August of 1971 Nixon suddenly closed the gold window (called the "Nixon shock") which ended the ability of anyone to redeem dollars for gold, thereby ending US gold backed money. This set in motion the massive, inflationary balloon we've been stuck in ever since. Gold was $35/oz back in 1971, now it is approx $1800/oz. We spend and spend and spend and create more and more trillion dollar programs, years and years of war with endless promises of paying for it later. So you can see from what happened in 1971; gold was a force that restrained excessive government spending. That doesn't mean the gold standard was a good thing overall (because it's not), but it did impose a looming cloud of arbitrage speculators who would suck your vaults dry of gold should you choose to devalue your currency at everyone else's expense. It made governments think twice about spending (and creating) money they didn't have in gold. In my opinion a government issued, debt free money system like Bill Still Advocates is best. But I think in order for it to work, we need a rock solid Constitutional amendment to rigidly enforce spending limits and eliminate government debt (only possible exceptions being for times of declared war). Not that our dictatorial presidents care a whit for the Constitution anymore (especially Obama), but we should at least go through the motions. We should also make it perfectly legal for ordinary citizens to freely trade, barter and possess precious metals or any other commodity they choose for the purposes of saving or investment. That right there would do more to keep government money honest than any rule written down on a piece of paper. |
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| Sage Against The Machine | Jan 29 2012, 06:50 PM Post #6 |
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Thanks Telday. I appreciate your appreciation. I think your posts are quality too - thoughtful and insightful. I'm no expert (not that they've been any good lately!) so any new system is a concern and has no guarantees. However, I would start by saying that the Transaction (Current) account will not necessarily be used to hoard money. My own current account at the moment has a lot of activity with hundreds of pounds going in and hundreds of pounds exiting. I suppose I am in my posts attempting to address the 3 fatal flaws of banking: 1. When you put money into a bank it is no longer your money. Ther bank simply has an IOU liability to you. 2. Your bank can use your money however it likes - such as investing in property bubbles, speculation (gambling) on commodities (eg food prices), investing in WMDs! 3. The big one - banks can create money out of thin air (whenever they make a loan) which has been the only source of new money for decades in the UK (and many other western countries). The solutions are: 1. (a) Transaction Account (Keep it safe for me) - off balance sheet so that if the bank fails, the customer loses nothing and their account is transferred to another bank. No govt bailouts needed. Therefore no implicit subsidy of banks by the taxpayer needed. Estimated cost for providing this service about a fiver a month (probably a hundred times less than we are actually paying at the moment to prop up this silly system) (b) Investment account (Grow it for me) - slight risk. No govt guarantee. 2. Banks are forced to tell us what their individual investment products will be investing in in plain English. 3. Return the creation of money to democratic control. The 3 options are: A. Banks continue to create all new money - this has demonstrably failed and is out of control. B. Govt create all new money - conflict of interest. No one trusts politicians C. An independent body controls the quantity of money such as the MPC (the least bad option). Accountable to parliament but not govt. At least it could be transparent. We could keep an eye on them and we'd know who to blame if things went tits up. It is possible that post-reform, people will be reluctant to put much money in an investment account. Certainly the first year may be a little turbulent but I reckon it'll reach some equilibrium. And if the banks new role as financial services (being intermediaries between savers and borrowers) fails, then the MPC can still supply all new money that is needed by the public sector for schools, hospitals and infrastructure projects. The private sector can attract a lot of this money to itself through sub-contracting. And if you watched Bob Welham's lecture (a previous link) he believes that we can make the money supply very flexible indeed by the State (MPC) selling money to the banks wholesale at interest to try and increase the number of conduits in the system. Banks would live and die by the sword. Postive Money have calculated that the new proposals would amount to a saving in real terms of 30%! That's the equivalent of all council tax and all income tax abolished! Maybe it's too good to be true. Maybe it is true because the current system is totally inefficient. Either way I reckon we'll be richer and there will be less demand for loans. |
| "Madness is doing the same thing over and over again expecting a different result". | |
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| telday | Jan 30 2012, 06:47 PM Post #7 |
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You're lucky mine has tens going in, and hundreds going out. I take your point of a current account, used for day to day transactions, my main concern is that of a 100% safe "savings" account within the banking system as opposed to a "current account. I wondered whether it would even be possible. With regard to a 100% reserve requirement for such an account and my concern (re. hoarding) as to the possible effect of reducing the overall "available" money supply, I think Robert Welham may have the answer, as you reffered to in your previous post : "he believes that we can make the money supply very flexible indeed by the State (MPC) selling money to the banks wholesale at interest to try and increase the number of conduits in the system." (As an aside, does Robert Welham remind anyone else of The Spaniard?) I don't think there is much to say in favour of the current FRB system, but perhaps one thing in it's favour is it's provision of a "flexible" money supply, i.e. it's ability to expand and contract fairly easily. (That is not an endorsement of FRB by the way.) Just to add my apologies to PersianPaladin for diverting his interesting topic. |
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I will never again refer to the perpertrators of continuous henious crimes, as "banksters", it's too good a word for them. From now on I will only refer to them as psychopathic scum. (P. S.) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xu4xPvyLn5Y | |
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| Sage Against The Machine | Jan 31 2012, 03:27 PM Post #8 |
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Telday - I neglected to mention a vital piece of information. The investment account interest rate could be controlled by the market. If the banking sector wants more money in it's investment pool, rates could be raised to encourage savers to invest some of their hoardings. The banks would not be vital to the economy as they are at the moment. They would be providing a financial service and would no longer have a monopoly on our one and only means of exchange. They can be retrained to be creditworthy professionals instead of the wealth extractors they have grown into. Edited by Sage Against The Machine, Jan 31 2012, 05:51 PM.
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| Sage Against The Machine | Jan 31 2012, 03:27 PM Post #9 |
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Bump
Edited by Sage Against The Machine, Jan 31 2012, 05:52 PM.
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| PersianPaladin | Feb 2 2012, 02:57 AM Post #10 |
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Interesting discussion guys. But I don't think my scenario was really addressed. |
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| Sage Against The Machine | Feb 2 2012, 08:34 PM Post #11 |
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Sorry. Went off at a tangent. I'm not hugely knowledgeable about pegging a currency to gold. I just don't see why it's necessary. I think it would cause even greater inequality than we have now because gold is mostly in private hands. I've heard people argue it's to keep the value of the fiat currency and they cite the devaluation of the dollar and the pound as evidence that fiat on its own is not good enough. I think what they fail to take into account is the huge amount of unneccessary debt (personal and govt) that this debt-money system relies on. I think it's commercially-issued debt-based money which is inflationary not fiat money per se. If we adopt a gold standard, a democratically elected govt would surely have to decree that gold was now the new fiat - "Let it be so." I don't think there's any way round it other than to involve government at some level. Unless you are advocating anarchy? If you've seen Secret of Oz you'll know about how the financial institutions of the day manipulated the economy through contrived scarcity of gold and could engineer recessions. Preventing this was the entire rationale behind the Free Silver Movement and Bimetallism. As Bill keeps saying "It's not what backs the money. What's important is who controls the quantity of money." If you want to read about Gold disasters just look at Spain in the 16th century on Wikipedia. Gold was a partial solution at best at a certain time in history. But I think that boat sailed a long time ago. Let's use modern technology instead to solve our problems. I rest my case. |
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| h20junkie | Feb 2 2012, 09:08 PM Post #12 |
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There is one thing Mr. Still placed in my thoughts- Who controls the quantity of money is the key to money reform. It's not "What", its"Who" If there is a gold-backed currency, then the "Who" not only controls the money, it also controls the gold. Edited by h20junkie, Feb 2 2012, 09:16 PM.
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| nickn | Feb 3 2012, 05:18 AM Post #13 |
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Can you restate your scenario in a single sentence? This sentence: "If the fraudsters bought off all the gold and silver, or the majority of it - then wouldn't the compensation for the damage they have wrought to the unemployed and businesses, result in most people getting a share in gold and silver stock?" ... really makes no sense to me. For instance, you say "If the fraudsters bought off all the gold and silver, or the majority of it" ...they don't need to buy a majority of it. They rig the system is via fractional reserve lending, meaning using a tiny fraction of ownership of gold they have an inordinate effect on the price of gold. So your assumption that they have to have a large exposure to gold is incorrect. You say "wouldn't the compensation for the damage they have wrought..." ... how would anyone have been compensated by this? This looks like another assumption that isn't actually true? If you can restate your scenario in a single sentence it would clarify things a lot. |
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| kiwi | Feb 5 2012, 10:33 AM Post #14 |
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"2. The above can be achieved by paying off personal debt (as quickly as possible) and the national debt (slowly over 15 years or so) using digital debt-free money." Money is a financial asset. A FINANCIAL ASSET is ALWAYS backed by a financial liability (called debt) So many people have fallen for the idea of debt free money when it is impossible nonsense. Its a hoax. |
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| kiwi | Feb 5 2012, 10:36 AM Post #15 |
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"I don't think there is much to say in favour of the current FRB system, " WE NO LONGER HAVE A FRACTIONAL RESERVE BANKING SYSTEM Like the gold standard it has now been dropped. |
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